Home dogs in NCAA Football

Playing at home in college football is a massive advantage, perhaps more than any sports outside of college basketball. The problem is that oddsmakers know this and thus adjust the lines heavily. For example, if last Saturday’s Kansas State/Texas Tech game was played at K State, the line would have been K State -4 or more. But, it was played in Texas and the line was Tech -3.5.

Last week was a banner week as many of the nation’s top teams were asked to go on the road. The public pounded the road favorites, while sharps grabbed value in the home doggies. Here’s the results of all the home dogs:

Cal +3 vs. USC: Road cover
San Jose St. +6 vs. Hawaii: Home cover
Duke +11.5 vs. FSU: Road cover
Texas +7 vs. Okla State: Road cover
UConn +7.5 vs. South Florida: Home cover (outright win)
Ole Miss _27.5 vs. Alabama: Road cover
Maryland +9 vs. Clemson: Road cover
Memphis +13 vs. ECU: Road cover
NMex St. +1 vs. Idaho: Home cover (outright win)
Kansas +37 vs. Oklahoma: Home cover
Bowling Green +8.5 vs. Toledo: Home cover
Miss State +3 vs. South Car: Home over
Kent State +3 vs. Miami OH: Road cover
UVA +7.5 vs. Georgia Tech: Home cover (outright win)
Tennessee +16.5 vs. LSU: Road cover
Colorado State +32 vs. Boise: Road cover
Wake +7 vs. Va Tech: Road cover
Auburn +3 vs. Florida: Home cover (outright win)
Vandy +13.5 vs. Georgia: Home cover
Wash St +20 vs. Stanford: Road cover
Fresno +2.5 vs. Utah State: Home cover (outright win)

RESULTS: Home dogs were 10-11 this week. If you bet $100 on each home dog, you would have lost $210. On the season, home dogs are now 55-55-1.

THOUGHTS: Betting home dogs in all sports used to be a much more profitable strategy. But as the general public gets sharper and more information is readily available, the edge is down to almost nothing. It’s still better than Level 1 aka X team is better than Y, let’s bet on them. But we’re going to have to go beyond the Level 2 reasoning of: Let’s bet on X team because they are getting points at home.


News
Entertainment
Sports
Lifestyle
International

'Barack Obama cheats on Michelle' claims Japanese politician…

A senior Japanese politician has marred Barack Obama's official visit to Tokyo with bizarre claims that the President cheats on his wife Michelle. Kazuyuki Hamada,…

International

British Royal family devastated by freak NY death…

The British royals have been left devastated by the death of Mark Shand, younger brother of Camilla, Duchess of Cornwall, after a freak fall in…

Local

DA: Homeless man severely beat by men in…

Two former college football players pleaded not guilty to the alleged severe beating of a homeless man in Allston earlier this year.

National

Hamas, Abbas's PLO announce reconciliation agreement

The Gaza-based Islamist group Hamas and President Mahmoud Abbas's Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) agreed on Wednesday to a unity pact.

Television

‘Survivor: Cagayan’ recap: Episode 9

It was only an hour-long episode, but there's a lot to cover this week. The drama of Survivor strikes again as the identity of the…

Going Out

Thursty: Revamped Audubon is back in action

Having been a long time fan of Trina's Starlite Lounge in Inman Square, one of my only complaints about the place is that there's only…

Entertainment

Here's what to do in Boston this weekend

MUSIC Huun Huur Tu Friday, 8 p.m. First Church in Cambridge 11 Garden St., Cambridge $28, 617-876-4275 www.worldmusic.org This group comes from the tiny nation…

Television

TV watch list, Wednesday, April 23: 'Suburgatory,' 'Modern…

'Suburgatory' The men of "Suburgatory" go camping and Tessa mentors a social outcast in a Miss Chatswin contest, which brings her, once again, into conflict…

NFL

2014 NFL Mock Draft: Updated, new April 24…

2014 NFL Mock Draft: Updated, new April 24 version

MLB

MLB video highlights: Red Sox top Yankees, 5-1

John Lackey shines, Pineda ejected in Red Sox win

NHL

Bruins - Red Wings Game 4 preview: Boston…

Bruins - Red Wings Game 4 preview: Boston greedy for more dominance

MLB

Fantasy baseball: Searching for early season prospects

It’s relatively rare for a mediocre 30-year-old hitter to suddenly go nuts offensively for 162 games. That’s why minor league prospects are so exciting.

Style

Pippa Middleton's Etsy pick: Golden Thread Jewelry

Get a look at the jewelry Pippa Middleton loves and find out how you can buy it too.

Parenting

What every parent needs to know to get…

Mom and author of "Small Talk," Tracey Blake, shares her five practical tips to help you develop your children's language skills.

Sex

Subway crush: Meet your soulmate on your commute

Read about a couple who has been 40 years after meeting on the train.

Tech

Happy birthday, Game Boy! The handheld console turns…

Nintendo's Game Boy turns 25 this week. To commemorate, we look at some of its better games, like "Tetris" and "The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening."