Bolaris: This year’s hurricane season could be ‘explosive’

Hurricane Sandy Bears Down On U.S. Mid-Atlantic Coastline

Hurricane season is three weeks away, officially running from June 1 to Nov. 30, with September being prime time for big hurricane strikes.

Even though devastating Sandy pummeled the East coast during the month of October, the super storm sits in a category all by itself. A killer storm unleashing all of its fury upon residents whom at the very least never really had to deal with hurricanes—and even with all the dire predictions never could really grasp if this could truly be.

I remember forecasting Sandy to all my Twitter followers and eventually being called by the Howard Stern Show to help prepare for the upcoming storm. Never did I see so many of Howard’s team actually deeply concerned and Howard himself concerned, especially for his parents living on Long Island.

When I got on that morning and was quickly escorted into the studio, I was nervous as hell, not because I was going on his show but I had a terrible feeling inside me. In all my 30 years of forecasting, (including the Air Force) Hurricane Andrew, Katrina, Hugo, etc., Sandy was a storm so massive in size, and heading directly from East to West and was going to slam into the New Jersey Shore in combination with an astronomical high tide and completely flood hugely populated areas from New Jersey to Massachussetts.

When I was forecasting the Queens-Midtown tunnel to flood and that the Jersey shore would have a reconfigured coastline, and western sections of Long Island would experience unprecedented flooding, it made me sick inside.

There was extreme pressure to get the word out, without creating panic, and hoping folks would heed the warnings, despite hearing dire predictions before only to flee for nothing. If you’re a meteorologist and you’re forecasting this to happen and it doesn’t, you are completely crucified. If you underplay it and people lives are lost, you get crucified. And trust me, deservedly so.

Nobody feels worse about it then the meteorologist who got it wrong.

I know thousands of people are still suffering because of Sandy and I’m worried because we will continue to be in a cycle of extreme weather throughout our lifetimes and our children’s lifetimes.

The forecast for this upcoming Hurricane season is explosive. All the top forecasting hurricane experts in the country are predicting 18-19 named storms. The average is 12. Nine of those could become become hurricanes. The average is 6.5. Four could have major winds—111 mph plus. The average is 2.

And the most startling prediction: The probability of a major hurricane striking somewhere along the entire U.S coastline stands at 72 percent (average for century is 52 percent).

And to narrow it down, the probability of an East coast strike on our shores stands at 48 percent. The average for the century is 31 percent.

I’m not being an alarmist, just stating the facts. Building structure codes along our coastlines will be changing as our precious coastline shrinks away.

Houses can be re-built, peoples lives cannot.



News
Entertainment
Sports
Lifestyle
International

Dinosaurs could have survived asteroid strike

It turns out there is a good and a bad time for the planet to be hit by a meteor, and dinosaurs were just unlucky.…

National

OkCupid admits to Facebook-style experimenting on customers

By Sarah McBrideSAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - OkCupid, a top U.S. matchmaking website, intentionally mismatched users to test its technology, the IAC/InterActive Corp service said on…

Local

MTA fares still increasing 4 percent in newly…

The agency said the 4 percent increases, previously announced in December, will remain steady even as the MTA deals with increasing labor costs.

Local

De Blasio, Bratton defend city's efforts after Eric…

Mayor Bill de Blasio justified the city's response to the death of Eric Garner, a Staten Island man who died while in police custody earlier this month.

Movies

Interview: Brendan Gleeson on the way 'Calvary' depicts…

Brendan Gleeson talks about how his new film "Calvary" began over drinks and how his character here is the opposite of the lead in "The Guard."

Movies

'Get on Up' producer Mick Jagger on the…

Mick Jagger, a producer on the James Brown biopic "Get on Up," talks about the time had to tell the singer some bad news and his favorite JB record.

Television

'Glee' star Lea Michele to appear on 'Sons…

"Glee" star Lea Michele has been confirmed as a guest star in the final season of "Sons of Anarchy."

Television

TV watch list, Monday, July 28: 'The Bachelorette'…

See Andi Dorfman make her big choice on tonight's 'Bachelorette' finale.

NFL

Larry Donnell has inside track in Giants tight…

Little-known Larry Donnell of Grambling State currently has the inside track, as the second-year player has received the bulk of the first-team reps.

NFL

Computer to Jets: Start Michael Vick over Geno…

Jets general manager John Idzik says the choice of who starts between second-year quarterback Geno Smith and veteran Michael Vick will be a “Jets decision.”

MLB

Yankees looking to trade for Josh Willingham: Report

CBS Sports’ Jon Heyman reported Sunday the Yankees are interested in Twins outfielder Josh Willingham.

MLB

Joe Torre: I'm in Hall of Fame because…

Joe Torre spent 18 years putting together a near Hall of Fame career as a player. But it was the 12 years he spent as…

Travel

Glasgow: Hey, hey, the gangs aren't here

This European city has done a good job getting rid of its more violent residents and revitalizing with artists.

Education

Babson College tops list of best colleges for…

Money magazine has just released its inaugural list of "The Best Colleges for Your Money" -- and the answers have surprised many. Babson College, which…

Education

NYC teens learn how to develop apps during…

Through a program sponsored by CampInteractive, the high schoolers designed their own community-focused apps.

Tech

The Ministry of Silly Walks app is both…

Monty Python have dug into their back catalogue for cash-ins once more, but with the Ministry of Silly Walks app, they've made something that's fun too.