You’re waking up to the coolest morning in a long time, and yes we even have some frost on the pumpkin in the distant suburbs of Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston.
Cooler temperatures should remain locked-in through the week, with daytime highs mainly in the pleasant 70s and overnight lows mainly in the 50s.
Big question marks as far as just how dry or wet this week will turn out to be as computer models are far apart in any consistency.
Right now, I'm very confident that after a beautiful day today, we will see widespread showers start to move in mainly late tonight across the Northeast I-95 corridor, and the rain should continue into at leastmid-day Tuesday. Keep in mind we NEED the rain, as much of the Northeast remains in moderate to severe drought conditions.
Computer models are split on how the second half of this week and the weekend will turn out?
Right now, I believe a coastal low could form along the Carolina coast late Wednesday night and then move slowly northeastward with needed rains spilling into Philadelphia and New York City on Thursday. The rain should make its way into Boston as well, and that rain could linger into Friday, especially along coastal areas.
The weekend picture remains unclear.
Too early to give you any type of forecast with confidence for your upcoming weekend as some models stall the front and give us unsettled weather right through your weekend as others have the rain clearing on the coast, so I'm not ready to give you a green light for the weekend.
Hurricane Mathew to form?
A tropical disturbance off the Cabo Verde Islands (far eastern Atlantic) is rather disorganized currently. However, the hurricane forecast center is giving this disturbance an 80-percent chance of intensification into possible hurricane status over the next several days. The Windward Islands would first need to pay attention to the future track, and long-range guidance suggests that it's not out of the question that the the U.S mainland might need to watch this closely as a few models bend potential Matthew towards the Gulf of Mexico or the southeast coast during the first week of October, with its tropical rains moving up the eastern seaboard. Any forecasts beyond five days is subject to large errors.
Today: Sunshine, cool, 72
Tuesday: Showers, 73
Wednesday: Some sun, 75
Thursday: Periods of rain, 70
Friday: Showers, 70
Saturday: Showers, 70
Sunday: Morning clouds, then sun, 75
Today: Cool, sunshine, 66
Tuesday: Periods of rain, 69
Wednesday: Sun to clouds, 72
Thursday: Periods of rain, 66
Friday: Showers, 68
Saturday: Periods of rain, 65
Sunday: Leftover showers, 65
Today: Sunshine, mixing with clouds, 74
Tuesday: Showers until mid-day, 73
Wednesday: Sun to clouds, late shower, 75
Thursday: Periods of rain, 71
Friday: Breaks of sun, showers, 72
Saturday: Showers, 70
Sunday: Clearing, 75