Poll suggests Bill de Blasio has enough support to avoid runoff election in Democratic mayoral primary

Credit: Bess Adler
Credit: Bess Adler

The latest poll on the mayor’s race suggests that Public Advocate Bill de Blasio will get enough votes to clinch the Democratic nomination without a runoff election.

Of 750 likely Democratic primary voters surveyed, de Blasio has 43 percent of the vote, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuseday.

Former City Comptroller Bill Thompson trails 13 points behind de Blasio at 20 percent and City Council Speaker Christine Quinn has 18 percent of the vote, according to the poll.

Former Congressman Anthony Weiner has 7 percent and current City Comptroller John Liu is at 4 percent. Eight percent of likely voters are still undecided.

The poll comes a week before the primary, when a Democratic candidate needs 40 percent of the vote to avoid a runoff election between the top two contenders.

Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, questioned if de Blasio could continue the surge for seven more days.

“If he does, his first contribution could be to the New York City budget—saving the expense of a run-off election,” Carroll said in a statement.

Credit: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Credit: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute

The poll shows de Blasio with 47 percent of black voters and 44 percent of women voters.

In runoff scenarios with both Thompson and Quinn, de Blasio has a majority of the vote.

Despite the lead, nearly a quarter of voters surveyed said there is a “good chance” they will change their minds before the primary. The results also include those voters who “lean toward” a certain candidate.

In response to the poll’s results, de Blasio’s campaign manager Bill Hyers said New Yorkers are “responding” to his “progressive vision.”

The poll had a margin of error plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Follow Anna Sanders on Twitter: @AnnaESanders



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