Even the computer simulators are surprised by the Jets 3-1 start

Through the first four games of the New York Jets season, Ryan Fitzpatrick has quarterbacked his team to a 3-1 record. But what would the Jets record be if Geno Smith was under center?

The good people at PredictionMachine.com ran a simulation of the Jets first four games under center with Smith as their starting quarterback. The ‘Predictalator’ ran 50,000 simulations of the Jets opening quarter of their season and said that Smith would have led the green and white to a 1-3 record.

The Jets were projected by the ‘Predictalator’ to win 20-19 in Week 1 over the Cleveland Browns (which they did, in a blowout), lose 30-20 in Week 2 at the Indianapolis Colts (which they didn’t, then won on the road in an impressive road win) then follow that in Week 3 with a 26-22 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles (Jets lost here 24-17). They also had the Jets losing at Wembley last week under Smith, 25-20 under Geno Smith (Jets won in what was a complete game).

Cumulative, PredictionMachine.com has Smith throwing for 845 yards with five touchdowns and four interceptions en route to a simulated 1-3 record.

Smith, in the real world, also got KO’ed by former teammate IK Enamkpali, a linebacker who sucker-punched him during training camp and cost him preseason as well as the start of the season. This kept him from the fast-track of starting; Smith had started the vast bulk of the Jets games the past two season.

Fitzpatrick has 924 yards with seven touchdowns and six interceptions, three of which came in Week 3 in a loss to the Eagles.