We've all been there. Running through this week's games, you come across a line that just doesn't make any sense. As in, "how can X team only be favored by Y over Z?"
The first reaction, of course, is to think of all the money you'll be winning by making a play on X. But the proper reaction should be something along the lines of, "hmmmmm."
That's because the "shady" lines are the ones that square bettors get trapped by. It's because there's information we don't know about out there, or team X just isn't as good as we think, or it's a perfect spot for team Z. Regardless of the reason, the bottom line is that the oddsmakers know more than we do.
This week's game between Oklahoma and Kansas State is a perfect example. Oklahoma just got exposed in their loss last week, is on the road here and playing a KState team that is undefeated. Logically, the line should be close to even, right? Nope. Oklahoma is a 13.5 point favorite. So before we run to the window and fire in action on the undefeated team at home getting nearly two touchdowns here, make sure you go hmmmm.