NFL training camps open next week, which means we’re inching closer to gambling … err … football season.
The over/unders on teams and their 2015 regular season win totals are fluctuating, so July is as good a time as any to jump on a bet. Obviously, you want to target teams on the extreme ends of the spectrum. Projected double-digit win teams are great to bet against and projected five and six win teams are great to bet in favor of.
A look at some of the best values on the board at Bovada.lv:
Redskins (6.5) – Over
Robert Griffin III is experiencing Vince Young-like backlash this offseason. One NFL coach told ESPN.com’s Mike Santo that Griffin was “done” and he was ranked 31stoverall by the MMQB.com in terms of projected starting quarterbacks for this season. This, of course, means that Griffin is due for something of a bounceback campaign. This is a team that’s already bottomed out – they won three games in 2013 and won four games last season. Only truly horrific teams hover around three and four wins three years in a row. There’s enough talent here to go 8-8, even in a highly competitive division.
Jaguars (5.5) – Over
Don’t laugh. The worm has to turn at some point. Blake Bortles is in Year 2 and he’ll have a new target in tight end Julius Thomas. Jared Odrick joins the defensive line and Davon House joins the secondary. Always hammer 5.5 teams.
Broncos (10) – Under
That Mile High air won’t resurrect Peyton Manning’s arm, which fell hard to the ground around Thanksgiving of last year. Wes Welker is still looking for a job and there is only one Thomas Bros. remaining in Denver. Oh and they replaced one head coach with a winning record (John Fox, 126-96) with one head coach who has a losing one (Gary Kubiak, 63-66). Ten wins is far too high.
Buccaneers (6) – Over
Lovie Smith took over the Bears in 2004 and they went 5-11 in his first year. The next year that record flipped as the Bucs went 11-5. It’s highly doubtful Smith will take the Bucs from 2-14 to 14-2 in his second year, but with Jameis Winston playing behind a young, strong offensive line Tampa Bay should overachieve.