Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings (-10.5)
Moneyline: Broncos +420, Vikings -515
Betting Total: 39.5 points
Time (Eastern): 1 p.m.
The Denver Broncos are a good value bet against the Minnesota Vikings this Sunday afternoon based on recent performances.
The Brandon Allen era got off to a winning start in Denver two weeks ago, as he went 12-for-20 with 192 yards and two TDs in a 24-19 victory over the Browns. The Broncos are now 4-1 against the spread in their last five contests. Denver comes into this affair rested off a bye and is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine chances in this spot. Allen and company should be able to move the ball effectively against a Vikings defense that’s been shredded to the tune of 375 or more yards per game in four of their last five tilts.
Meanwhile, the Broncos’ run stoppers have tightened up since allowing Leonard Fournette to run for 225 yards in Week 4. They’ve surrendered just 74.2 rushing yards per game in their last five contests. Minnesota running back Dalvin Cook could be in for a rough day at the office, which in turn could force quarterback Kirk Cousins into mistakes. Denver has had a solid pass defense all year (fourth by yards per game), so it’s unlikely this game will get out of hand.
The play: Broncos spread
Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at Miami Dolphins
Moneyline: Bills -225, Dolphins +195
Betting Total: 40 points
Time (Eastern): 1 p.m.
No one is overlooking the Miami Dolphins anymore following a two-game win streak over the Jets and Colts, the latter of which occurred as 11-point underdogs. They’ve covered in five straight, yet this will only be the second time this season they’re ‘dogs of less than a touchdown as the Buffalo Bills come to town. Miami may be able to keep things close once more, but the smarter play is in the totals market.
The Bills are 3-3 in their last six games, partially due to their underachieving offense that’s mustered an average of just 18 points in that span. Sophomore quarterback Josh Allen is completing fewer than 60 percent of his throws on the season for less than seven yards per attempt. The Dolphins’ defense has been respectable over their last five games, allowing more than 325 yards in a game just once during their last five tilts, so they should keep a lid on Buffalo’s scorers.
Fortunately for Allen, his defense that’s third in scoring and fourth in yards allowed per play has been bailing him out this year. They’ll face a familiar foe in former signal caller Ryan Fitzpatrick, who hasn’t been lighting the world on fire (285.4 yards per game last five contests) but has helped limit costly turnovers.
The play: Bills v. Dolphins Under