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Voters seeing red in the Bay State?

Today’s midterm elections could determine if the so-called “Scott Brown factor” is here to stay.

Today’s midterm elections could determine if the so-called “Scott Brown factor” is here to stay.

Just as Sen. Brown’s victory against Martha Coakley was 11 months ago, political observers across the country see today’s races as a referendum on the Obama administration.

But Brown’s win also solidified support for incumbent Gov. Deval Patrick in his fight against Republican challenger Charlie Baker.

“The Brown thing wasn’t an early warning shot, it was an early warning explosion,” said Dr. Maurice Cunningham, chair of UMass Boston’s political science department. “And [Deval Patrick] has paid attention to it.”

But given the Democratic stronghold on state politics, Massachusetts Republican Party Chair Jennifer Nassour said “If they needed Scott Brown to wake them up they have bigger problems because they’ve been in control of Massachusetts for half a century.”

Fred Bayles, director of Boston University’s State House program, doesn’t draw parallels from Patrick to the Brown factor or from Patrick to the Obama administration.

“[Brown] ran against a very poor candidate,” Bayles said. “Deval Patrick is a very good candidate. He ran an excellent campaign.”

Nassour contends that today’s race has nothing to do with Brown’s victory 11 months ago but is still a referendum on Obama.

“When you look at Deval Patrick he is very close with the president,” she said. “There’s a lot of buyer’s remorse out there.”

 
 
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