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NFL best bets - Week 14 pro football gambling advice, point spreads, picks

Expect Dak Prescott and the Cowboys to get some revenge against the Giants on SundGetty Images

Road teams have the edge in a pair of NFC East matchups this week.

Bears atLions (-8)

After beating up on the hapless 49ers last week, the Bears are in for a dose of reality as they travel to Detroit.

The Lions are 7-1 ATS (against the spread) in their last eight games and have covered in each of their last five home games. And while the Bears did beat Detroit back in October, Brian Hoyer was leading the way at QB that day. The INT-prone third-stringer Matt Barkley (four picks in just 87 attempts) is now in charge. The Lions have a plus-5 turnover ratio in their last three games while the Bears have a minus-4 ratio in that span; a huge disparity that could go a long way in deciding this game.

The stingy Lions’ rush defense (78.9 YPG last five games) should shut down Jordan Howard, and that will force Barkley to drop back far more often than Chicago’s coaching staff would want. Theo Riddick should be able to control this game on the ground (the Bears have allowed 100 rushing yards or more in each of their last three games), giving Matt Stafford a bit of relief.

This will be another hard-fought NFC North clash, but the Lions are more than capable of winning by two scores.

The pick: Lions -8

Redskins atEagles (E)

The Eagles have gone into free-fall, losing their last three tilts by multiple scores and mustering an average of just 14 points in those contests. And speaking of losing streaks, Philly is in line to drop their fifth straight to the Redskins this Sunday.

Philly's Oct. 16clash with Washington was an exercise in futility, as the Eagles were torched for 493 yards by the Redskins’ offense. Kirk Cousins should have no problem working his will downfield once more, as the Eagles have surrendered an average of over 277 YPG through the air during their three-game skid. And while the ‘Skins have dropped their last two games on the road, they’ve still been a good bet away from D.C. this year (4-2 ATS). Washington is the best bet of the week.

The pick: Redskins (even)

Dallas Cowboys (-3) atNew York Giants

The Giants have built a “giant-killer” reputation on their way to two Super Bowl titles since 2008, but recent history tells a different story. New York has won just one of its last 10 games as an underdog and was exposedin the eyes of many when it wasthrottled by the Steelers last Sunday. And while the Giantsdid beat the Cowboys in Week 1, Dallas hasn't lost since.

In the aftermath of that season-opening clash, Ezekiel Elliott has established himself as the obvious choice for Offensive Rookie of the Year while Dak Prescott has made the Cowboys’ scouts look like masterminds. Also, Jason Pierre-Paul won’t be around to make their lives miserable this time (sports hernia surgery).

Eli Manning will need to find Odell Beckham Jr. more than four times (the tally in Week 1) if the Giants want to win this game. As it stands, it looks like the Cowboys will escape with yet another victory in a potential shootout.

The pick: Cowboys -3

Best of the rest (picks inbold)

Houston Texans@ Indianapolis Colts (-6)

Arizona Cardinals @Miami Dolphins(-1)

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) @Jacksonville Jaguars

Denver Broncos@ Tennessee Titans (-1)

Pittsburgh Steelers(-2) @ Buffalo Bills

Cincinnati Bengals (-6) @Cleveland Browns

San Diego Chargers@ Carolina Panthers (-1)

New York Jets@ San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

New Orleans Saints@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)

Atlanta Falcons(-6) @ Los Angeles Rams

Seattle Seahawks(-2.5) @ Green Bay Packers

Baltimore Ravens @New England Patriots(-7)

 
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