Is this the death knell for Turkey-Israel ties?

Israel and Turkey have a long military alliance and economic relationship. Bilateral trade reached $2.5 billion in 2009, with Turkey buying military hardware from the Jewish state. Analysts say their complex relationship offers too many advantages to both countries to be forsaken easily.

 

How is Turkey likely to react?

With public anger seething, PM Tayyip Erdogan is likely to take a harsh line against Israel. Erdogan became a hero across the Islamic world for publicly criticizing Israeli policy toward Palestinians. With an election due by July next year, a strong stand could go down well with voters.

 

How will the fallout affect U.S. policy in the Middle East?

The alliance between Turkey and Israel has been a boon to U.S. diplomacy in the Middle East. President Obama, who needs Turkey’s support from Iraq to Afghanistan, must balance backing for Israel with understanding for NATO member Turkey.

 

How did it get so bad?

Analysts say ties deteriorated sharply after Israel’s Gaza offensive, which Erdogan called a crime against humanity and prompted Turkey to bar Israel from participating in a NATO military exercise. Analysts have said anti-Semitism in Turkey is on the rise after the war in Gaza.