Here are NFL total win over unders Giants Patriots Eagles and Jets for the 2018 season.
New York Jets Under 6.0 wins (-125)
The Jets have the look of a team that’s a year away from contending for a playoff spot, but they’re making all the right moves. Trading Teddy Bridgewater to the Saints signified that the Jets are ready to hand the keys to Sam Darnold. He might make some mistakes early on, but he’s shown enough promise in the preseason to justify the organization’s faith in him.
However, as Darnold adjusts to the speed of the NFL, the Jets will probably sacrifice some wins as a result. His supporting cast is not exactly a “who’s who” of the NFL, as his top wideout might be Terrelle Pryor Jr., and the number-one running back is Isaiah Crowell. The Jets’ defense is also young and bound to experience some miscues as well.
If everything goes perfectly for the Jets, they might be able to get to .500 thanks to the presence of the Dolphins and Bills, who are expected to finish under .500, in the AFC East. But seldom do things go perfectly in the NFL, where season-ending injuries are far too common. A push on this number would be an encouraging result as the Jets look ahead to 2019.
New York Giants Under 7.0 wins (+140)
The Giants had a chance to draft Darnold, but instead they stuck with 37-year-old Eli Manning, who was never half the quarterback Darnold might become. Instead, the Giants drafted Saquon Barkley, and while he might be a generational running back talent, he can only do so much behind an offensive line that lost Justin Pugh and Weston Richburg. Nate Solder was a great pickup for that unit, but he’s just one player trying to fill a two-player void.
The Giants’ defense continues to be a liability, and their division is a tough one with the defending champion Eagles and the Cowboys as potential double-digit game winners. Seven wins seems extraordinarily optimistic, especially considering they face the eighth-toughest schedule by win percentage (.520) in the entire league. Lock up the under while the odds are still this good.
New England Patriots Over 11.5 wins (-105)
In spite of all the uproar surrounding Bill Belichick and Tom Brady and their seemingly-deteriorating relationship, the Patriots continue to win. They haven’t finished below 12-4 since 2009, when they were 10-6. So why is their line set at just 11.5 wins?
Wise guys might point to the departures of such notables as Solder, Brandin Cooks and Dion Lewis, but New England addressed some of those losses by signing Trent Brown (and drafting Isaiah Wynn) to replace Solder and inking Jeremy Hill to fill the shoes of Lewis. If Chris Hogan, Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski (or at least two out of three) can stay healthy, Tom Brady will be just fine on offense.
Matt Patricia, last year’s defensive coordinator, is gone but it’s not as if his unit was lighting the world on fire. Dont’a Hightower returning from injury will be a much-needed boon. Expect the Patriots to coast to another AFC East title with either 12 or 13 wins, as usual.
Philadelphia Eagles Over 10.5 wins (+105)
The Eagles finished 13-3 and won the Super Bowl despite losing then-MVP contender Carson Wentz to a devastating knee injury in Week 14. His status for Week 1 is unclear, but Nick Foles has already shown he can shoulder the load if need be.
There’s negligible change on Philly’s offense, as Mike Wallace replaces Torrey Smith as the primary long-ball option. They’ll enjoy a full season of Jay Ajayi at tail back after he was brought in at last year’s deadline. And Haloti Ngata joins an already-fearsome defense on the front line. The Super Bowl champs are well-positioned to go over this surprisingly-low number.