After Trae Young was slowed by an ankle injury during the second half of Game, the Hawks had few answers for the heavily-favored Bucks. Milwaukee took control of the game late and will now look to take control of the series in Game 4 this evening.
Let’s jump into this matchup between Milwaukee and Atlanta with a look at our best Bucks vs. Hawks player prop bet prior Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals.
Bucks vs. Hawks Game 4 Player Prop Bet
Clint Capela Over 23.5 Total Points and Rebounds (FanDuel Sportsbook -102)
Clint Capela may suddenly find himself as the most important man in Atlanta tonight if Trae Young’s ankle is anything less than perfect. Capela somehow scraped together 11 rebounds, six of which came on the offensive end, in just 28 minutes of play, while earning a team best +11 +/- rating in Game 3. He was one of just two Hawks to have a positive value in that regard. He may be needed to do even more tonight if Atlanta hopes to head back to Milwaukee level at two games each.
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Capela can be found in and around the lane doing all the dirty work that rarely gets praised, but he is infinitely important to a team of shooters like the Hawks. Capela led the NBA in rebounds per game this season with 14.3, but also was the league’s best in offensive rebounds per contest with 4.42.
That knack on the offensive glass could pay huge dividends for us tonight with put-backs that carve chunks out of this combo total, as Young may be forced to do his damage from long-range if he can’t cut and drive as he does at full health.
Capela has topped this combined points and rebounds total in seven of his 15 playoff games thus far (46.7%) and did so in 47 of his 63 regular season games (74.6%). He also had another four games during the regular season where he reached exactly 23 combined points and rebounds, just a half-point shy of what is required here. We expect his importance tonight to emulate that stellar regular season where he averaged 15.2 points and 14.3 rebounds per game (29.5 combined).
Capela averaged 16.1 and 15.2 on one day of rest this season, while playing 30.3 minutes per game. These are his best numbers off any period of rest. Moreover, he also tallied a combined 30.1 points and rebounds after the All-Star Game, compared with 28.9 before the break.
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The 6’10” big man was an integral part of the Hawks’ winning formula this season, posting 16.1 points and 14.6 rebounds in Atlanta victories and just 14.1 and 14.0 in their losses.
Clint Capela rim running early on TNT! pic.twitter.com/9DbqMHofEi
— NBA (@NBA) June 28, 2021
Tuesday happened to be Capela’s best rebounding day of the week, pulling down 17.0 boards per game.
He put up 11.0 points and 15.0 rebounds per game against the Bucks in the regular season. He did so again in Game 1 of this series before the goofy happenings of Games 2 and 3. In his previous two playoff series this season, Capela topped this combined point-rebound total in all five games here in Atlanta.
That continued a run from the regular season that saw Capela reach at least 23 combined points and rebounds in 26 of his last 31 games here at State Farm Arena. You have to like your odds of Capela cashing this prop tonight after doing so in 77.8% of his home games this year, especially if we hit our mark that his role will be of heightened.
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