ISTANBUL (Reuters) – Turkey’s consumer price inflation fell to a lower-than-expected 11.76% year-on-year in July https://tmsnrt.rs/37XP1zO, official data showed on Tuesday, reversing two months of rising inflation as the economy continued to emerge from lockdown.
The figures boosted the lira <TRYTOM=D3>, which firmed to 6.9270 against the dollar. The currency weakened last week to 7 on lingering worries over depleted FX reserves and costly state interventions to steady the currency.
Month-on-month, consumer prices rose 0.58% in July, the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) said, compared to a Reuters poll forecast of 0.9%. The poll saw annual inflation at 12.10% in July, after it rose to 12.62% in June.
The largest consumer price rises in July were in the transportation sector, with a rise of 2.44%, while clothing and footwear prices dropped 3.48%. Key food and non-alcoholic drinks prices dropped 1.28%, the TUIK data showed.
Economists had cited coronavirus-related disruptions to production as contributing to the expected dip in year-over-year price rises.
(GRAPHIC – Turkish inflation falls below 12% in July: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/qmyvmggoyvr/eikon.png)
The Turkish central bank, which has held its policy rate at 8.25% since June citing rising prices, last week raised its year-end inflation forecast to 8.9% from 7.4%.
As pandemic-related demand for goods gradually eases and things return to normal “inflation will enter a falling trend beginning in July,” the bank’s governor Murat Uysal said.
For year end, the poll’s median inflation estimate of 10 economists was 10%.
The producer price index rose 1.02% month-on-month in July for an annual rise of 8.33%, the data showed.
(Reporting by Daren Butler; Editing by Dominic Evans)