The Philadelphia 76ers look to bounce back from their embarrassing collapse on Wednesday night and avoid elimination when they take on the Atlanta Hawks in Game 6 of the teams’ Eastern Conference Semifinal series tonight.
Let’s take a look at this Game 6 matchup between Philadelphia and Atlanta with a deep dive into our best 76ers vs. Hawks player prop pick.
After blowing two massive leads in Games 4 and 5, the 76ers must find a way to overcome their recent late-game mishaps — and a way to stop Atlanta’s Trae Young — if they are to force a decisive Game 7 in Philadelphia on Sunday afternoon. Oddsmakers have installed the Sixers as a small favorite, but let’s skip the game pick and instead dial in on an intriguing player prop pick for tonight’s game.
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76ers vs. Hawks Game 6 Player Prop Pick
Tobias Harris Over 21.5 Points (DraftKings Sports, +110)
Not a huge payout here, but the investment should prove wise in the end. Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons have garnered much of the negative attention following Philadelphia’s resounding Game 5 collapse, but Tobias Harris enters Game 6 with possibly even more to prove.
In Game 5, Harris ended a run of 11 straight games with 19 or more points in simply awful fashion. He played 38 minutes in the loss, but he mustered just four points on 2-for-11 shooting from the field, including 0-for-3 from long range. His four rebounds and three assists did little to hide the fact that he became a wallflower at the absolute worst time for the Sixers.
Quite simply, this is a guy on a max contract who knows his team needs far more from him in order to survive tonight.
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A Track Record of Rebounds
To begin, Harris has posted 21.3 points per game in the postseason thus far, good for a bump up from his 19.5 ppg regular season average.
This increase has correlated directly with Harris playing nearly three more minutes per game in the postseason than he did during his 62-game regular season. It’s worth noting Harris’ four points in Game 5 were the least he has scored all season long. He scored 10 points or less just seven other times this season and averaged 22.7 points per game in games following those disappointments with 33.3 minutes logged per game. In other words, there’s a significant track record of rebound performances.
Entering Game 5, Harris had taken at least 13 shots in each game, shooting an outstanding 58.7% from the field. One would have to expect a similar shot volume this evening in a game he surely wants to atone for his poor Game 5 showing.
If Not Him, Then Who?
Beyond his own personal bounce back trends, there’s this — the Sixers need offense down the stretch. Embiid has shown fatigue issues late in both games this week, likely caused by his partially torn meniscus. Simmons isn’t suddenly going to become a volume shooter late in an all-or-nothing game, which means the Sixers need someone else to emerge. The most obvious — and capable — candidate becomes Harris.
His current postseason track record, a horrific Game 5 performance, and the Sixers’ late-game struggles should combine here to create the perfect storm of motivation and increased aggressiveness for Harris fill it up tonight. The expectation here is that he will do enough to surge past a fair number of 21.5 total points tonight.
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